Coronavirus outcomes may not be as bad as we think

Care Home fatalities due to COVID 19 have gone from being underestimated to being overestimated.

Excess death calculations in a population that is growing and getting older overestimate COVID 19 related deaths

The change in testing strategy through April in the UK and other countries gives a misleading impression of the evolution of COVID 19 cases

Introduction

Clearly, COVID 19 is a terrible disease, and those that contract it suffer terribly. Policymakers…